Selling (Going Short) Lean Hogs Futures to Profit from a Fall in Lean Hogs Prices

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Selling (Going Short) Lean Hogs Futures to Profit from a Fall in Lean Hogs Prices

The price of Lean Hogs is 43.800 USD (per pound) today.

Will LH price drop / fall?

Yes. The Lean Hogs price may drop from 43.800 USD to 41.764 USD. The change will be -4.648%.

Will LH price grow / rise / go up?

Will LH price crash?

According to our analysis, this can happen.

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Time to bring home the bacon in lean hog futures

The lean hog market has been in a tailspin for a year now. After the high of March 2020, it’s been all down hill. Trend followers have been short most of the ride, but most of us got stopped out in the last bear market rally.

As it turns out, that rally failed and we’re now back down to the old lows. That means that trend followers are going back into those shorts, in full force.

Daily lean hogs futures continuation

In this case, we just closed a very profitable short early this month during the bear market rally, and now the price fell back hard enough to issue a brand new short entry signal. We enter here and stay short until the price moves back up enough to hit the trailer.

Management and risk description

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Enter short in the most liquid issue of the lean hogs market. Place a trailing stop behind it and let it ride. There are no profit targets in trend following.

Lean hogs futures market dashboard display

Entry: Sell to open on current levels. Friday’s close was $0.7545.

Stop: Trail a stop behind at a distance of 4.5 cents.

Target: No target for trend following trades.

Time horizon: Average holding period for these trades is about one month. Longer for successful trades, shorter for failed trades.

— Edited by Robert Ryan

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