Correlation CallPut Binary Options Strategy

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Стратегия бинарных опционов с системой CallPut-Options

Данная торговая система разработана специально для бинарных опционов. Вы можете увидеть 7 сделок, проведенные в первые 6 часов сессии в Нью-Йорке. Посмотрите видео.

Правила торговли по системе CallPut-Options

1-я стрелка всплывает вместе с звуковым и визуальным предупреждением.

Вам просто нужно ждать когда изменится цвет свечи, и после этого приобретать опцион.

Наконец, пользовательский индикатор BB-Trigger подтверждает покупку опциона, пересечение красной и желтой линии. Красная и желтая линии должны соответствовать направлению покупаемого опциона «Call» или «Put».

Вот и все, вы покупаете «пут-опцион» или «колл-опцион».

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Рекомендованные валютные пары EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, NSD/USD и AUD/USD

Таймфрейм М5, срок исполнения сделки 20-45 минут. На усмотрение трейдера.

— BB_Magnified Market Price.ex4

— Template file binary_breaker_system.tpl

— Forex Binaries Trading Manual .pdf (user guide)

Скачать торговую систему: CallPutOptios

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Инструкция по установке торговой системы CallPut-Options

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Чтобы установить скачанную торговую систему CallPut-Options выполните следующие действия:

1. Скопируйте все файлы ex4 в папку MT4 индикаторы C: \ Program Files \ [MT4 папки] \MQL4\ indicators\

2. Скопируйте binary_ breaker_system.tpl в папку MT4 шаблоны C: \ Program Files \ [MT4 папки] \ Templates \

3. Перезагрузите MT4.

4. Откройте любую валютную пару, таймфрейм M5, щелкните правой кнопкой мышки в меню на «Графики», выберите «Шаблон», а затем нажмите на Binary_ breaker_system

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Correlations in Binary Options

Certain assets in the binary options market share correlations with other assets and market occurrences, making it possible to predict the movement of one asset based on the performance of its correlated asset or event.

In this article, we examine the various correlations that exist in the binary options market and how traders can benefit from them.

Examples of Correlated Assets

The following assets are seen to be closely correlated, and so will present correlation-based trading opportunities in the binary options market.

  • China and the AUDUSD
  • AUDUSD and Copper
  • EURUSD and Crude Oil
  • Gold and Inflation
  • Sovereign Debt and Currencies

Here is an explanation of the various correlations in binary options and how they can be traded.

    China and the AUDUSD

China is currently responsible for 40% of the world’s production, and to fuel such an industrial hub, the country has to depend on imports from a country which is in close proximity to it and also has a large supply of raw materials to feed its industries. Australia is a country that satisfies these two demands, making it China’s biggest trade partner. China’s economic growth is therefore going to impact heavily on the Australian economy. Increased growth of China’s economy will mean a boom for the Australian commodity export dependent economy, leading to a rise in the value of the Aussie. When the Chinese economy slows, it will impact negatively on the AUDUSD.

Binary options traders will need to watch all news reports that give an indication as to where the Chinese economy is heading, and then trade the AUDUSD subsequently. Some of these news reports coming out of China are:

  • HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Flash and Final)
  • Trade Balance
  • Consumer Price Index
  • Industrial Production
  • GDP

The correlation between China and the AUDUSD is a positive one. All the economic indicators mention above correlate in a positive fashion with the Aussie. So numbers that beat the consensus numbers should boost the Aussie’s value, and the AUDUSD should be traded accordingly.
AUDUSD and Copper

Following on from the correlation discussed above, copper binaries provide another example of a correlation between a commodity, a currency pair and an economy. China is the largest buyer of Australian copper. The correlation between China, copper and the AUDUSD is thus a positive one. Indeed, if the trader does not want to trade the AUDUSD in response to Chinese economic growth indices, copper binaries present a viable alternative. A good measure of these correlations is by the use of the Shanghai Index asset (SSE180).

The trader should always be on the lookout for when copper, the AUDUSD and the Shanghai Index are in close correlation, and periods when this relationship disintegrates transiently.
EURUSD and Crude Oil

The relationship between crude oil and the USD is one which has been thoroughly explained in many online articles and trading websites. To recap, the USD has an inverse relationship with crude oil, and the EURUSD represents one great way to trade this correlation. The price of crude oil is dictated by forces of demand and supply.

Demand for crude oil is driven by growth. Growth will need more crude oil and its derivatives to fuel expanding industries and all that come along with it. Supply is determined by the quotas set by producing countries, as well as availability of the product if there is a major crisis in countries where it is produced. We saw an example of the latter during Libya’s civil war of 2020, when crude prices spiked rapidly as a result of shut-in of production from this country which is responsible for 2% of the world’s supply.

So what is the correlation play here? The USD will be negatively affected by higher oil prices. This is because the US is a net importer of crude oil, and more money spent on crude imports will increase the US trade deficit, which is a USD-negative event. Weaker oil prices mean that less money will be spent on crude imports by the US, reducing the trade deficit (a USD positive event).

Therefore, the trader can trade the change in crude oil prices on the binary platforms as follows:

  1. CALL option on the USDCAD or PUT option on the EURUSD if oil prices weaken.
  2. PUT option on the USDCAD or CALL option on the EURUSD if oil prices strengthen.

From my experience, the EURUSD has proven a resilient asset to trade this relationship because the Euro is crude oil-neutral. This allows the interplay between the USD and crude oil to fully manifest itself. The Canadian Dollar lends itself to this correlation because it is home to the second largest crude oil reserves (after Saudi Arabia), and is the greatest crude exporter to the US, accounting for more than 60% of crude oil exports to its southern neighbor.

The crude oil contract on the NADEX binary options platform is the Western Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude, which moves closely with the Brent Crude contract.
Gold and Inflation

Gold has traditionally been treated as a safe haven asset which traders buy into in times of economic crisis, or in times when market participants are in capital preservation mode. However, when capital is depleted (as it will be if the crisis lasts long enough), traders may then trade in their gold stores for cash, leading to a gold sell-off. So it is not a wise idea to trade gold simply on expected demand during crisis periods in the financial markets. Rather, it makes more sense to trade gold as an asset correlated to inflation. This is because gold is better used as a hedge against inflation and not just as a safe-haven, capital preservation asset.

Central banks commonly use interest rates as a way to defeat inflationary pressures. So whenever there is an expectation of inflationary pressure on the economy of a country, it brings an expectation that rates will go up. This brings on a risk-on sentiment to the market, with traders willing to back up such expectations with an increase in gold demand. We also expect the risk-on commodity currencies to go up in value, especially that of the AUDUSD to which gold is 90% correlated. Australia is the world’s largest producer and exporter of gold, so its currency shares a positive correlation with gold.

Therefore, it makes sense to either trade gold, or the AUDUSD in correlation to inflation. You may ask: why the USD? This is because gold and the USD are inversely correlated.

For the binary options trader, watch the inflation reports coming out of Australia and the US, and also watch the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) statements regarding their plans with regards to interest rates, looking closely at the concern they have over inflation. If you see a hawkish tone in the statement following a rate decision (increased or left unchanged with a chance for increase in future), get ready to make a technically-directed entry into gold or the AUDUSD on the CALL side of the trade. A dovish tone from the RBA will have the opposing effect, and should get the trader considering a PUT trade.
Sovereign Debt and Currencies

The sovereign debt crises witnessed in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain and the hammering that the Euro took as a result, shows how sovereign debt, credit ratings and the value of the affected currencies are all correlated.

Credit ratings are assigned by three major credit rating companies: Moody’s, Fitch and Standards & Poor (S&P). The ratings simply tell creditor nations about the ability of a government or other entity to repay loans taken as sovereign debt (government bonds). National governments are supposed to have the highest ratings because in theory, they are too big to default. But what happens when there is a massive threat of default as hung over Greece and Ireland in 2020 to 2020? A massive loss of investor confidence follows, and as investors flee all investment vehicles in a country, they will dump that country’s currency and look for other more viable alternatives. This is what happened to the Euro, as it fell from 1.5153 to the USD in Nov 2009 to as low as 1.1847 in June 2020 at the height of the crisis.

Mounting trade deficits and unfunded liabilities are another kind of sovereign debt problem with the same effect. If deficits are seen to be rising to unsustainable levels, it makes the likelihood of a credit rating downgrade possible, and this will have a dampening effect on that country’s currency. The US was hit by a rating downgrade not so long ago.

Binary options traders should begin to look at the emerging correlation between sovereign debt and the value of a currency. A country’s economic metrics can be tracked, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) maintains such records and this is something that binary traders should look out for.

It can be seen that most of the correlations are fundamentally based. This allows traders to get a long-term direction on the asset that they intend to trade based on these correlations, and look for possible trade entry spots to profit from them.

Binary Options Strategy

In this article you will get our top 10 tips for developing a binary options trading strategy and you will also learn what signal providers we recommend and how you can use them.

If you have completed your educational phase for trading binary options, then it is now time to concentrate on how to win with this popular new investment genre. As you have already learned, much of the effort has been removed by the nature of this medium. Quick material gains, as well as losses, are part of the draw, but as with any other trading arena, your goal will be to approach the market in a disciplined fashion, and, more importantly, you will want to find ways to move the odds in your favor to produce consistent “net” gains over time.

Binary options are new. They have jumped into the market to address several shortcomings that typically befall newcomers to trading. Popularity abounds, but one must always remember that these options are not a new form of “gambling”. They do embody “high risk”. You will read many disclaimers to this effect, but during your practice session regimen, your objective will be to develop your own personal trading strategy, fine tuning it as you go before ever risking your real capital in the market.

Top 10 Tips to Consider When Developing a Binary Options Trading Strategy

A simple search of the Internet will deliver a host of articles related to winning strategies when trading binary options. The “newness” of all of these suggestions conveys one simple truth – none of these have been thoroughly tested over lengthy time periods. The jury is still out, so to speak. Do not be fooled by claims of “90% accuracy”, especially if the party requires a hefty deposit to access his “magic formula”. There are a few basic ideas to follow, but first, let’s review ten tips to keep in mind before getting into specific strategies:

  1. Never risk any funds that you cannot afford to lose. This genre is high risk. Even seasoned veterans run into a bad streak at some point. Capital devoted to binary options should never be more than a small percentage of your entire portfolio. Remember the benefits of diversification;
  2. Prudent money management principles still apply. Trading involves losses and gains, but markets range within tight spreads for the majority of the time. The opportunity for a large gain comes when the market trends dramatically in one direction or another. You have to “keep your powder dry”. The general rule is to limit your positions to 2% to 3% of your account, never exceeding more than 2 to 3 positions at any one time;
  3. Always start with small amounts until you gain a level of confidence with the asset class that you have chosen. When the odds move in your favor, you will want to increase your chances for winning. Patience is crucial;
  4. Do not force a trade. In other words, you do not have to be in the market at all times. You may be itching to jump in, but until your charts or other support mechanisms make a prediction seem highly probable, the best strategy is to wait. Do not allow emotions to govern your entries;
  5. Always be aware of the calendar of events for the day, from important data releases, to central bank announcements, or to any other event that is significant enough to be on the radar screen.
  6. Many releases occur in the morning. If you notice the market go flat for an extended period, it is usually pausing before an expected announcement;
  7. For currencies, the opportunity to gain is highest when liquidity is highest, which happens when both London and New York markets are open;
  8. Keep a journal to record each trade and why you bought the option. Review and learn from your winners, as well as from your losers. Experience is key when acquiring the skills you will need for consistency in this market;
  9. If you hit a losing streak, walk away from your trading desk. Many traders follow the “3-Loss” rule – if you have three consecutive losing trades, it is best to walk away and re-think your approach. The market is always shifting and changing its personality. What may work on one day, may not hold water on another. Adapt, and move on;
  10. Never get discouraged if you missed a big move or had several losses. Veteran traders understand that losses are part of the game, and, more importantly, that there is always another opportunity around the corner.

What Are Some Common Strategies to Employ with Binary options?

Depending on how complex or analytically inclined you want to be, there are an incredible number of complicated ways to play the binary options trading market. Do not be swayed by marketing claims, unless you prefer to pay good money for someone else’s idea. Whatever strategy path you go down, there are generally three basic themes that govern how they work:

1) Trending Strategies: This strategy involves predicting a direction that will prevail over the period of your option. Traders understand that markets are heavily correlated. If Gold is moving up for some reason, then it is a good bet that the Australian Dollar will go up as well. The same is true for Oil and the Canadian Dollar. If fundamentals are moving the S&P 500 index in the northerly direction, then the Euro will surely follow most of the time. Every trader uses his own method for tracking these correlations or technical patterns that “hint” at potential movements. Some choose special indicators or signal providers to assist in the task, but more on that later;

2) Ranging Strategies: Markets tend to get stuck in ranges for the majority of the trading day. There are special binary options designed for this situation, or you can form your own “straddle” by buying “one-touch” “put” and a “call” options that set boundaries around a price that you expect to be broken over time as the price “vibrates” within a tight range. A “two-barrier” option is best employed before a significant market announcement, when you expect the news to jerk the market one way or another, but are unsure of which one;

3) Hedging Strategies: Hedging strategies tend to be more complicated, since they involve two different asset purchases. “Hedging” in actuality is like insurance. You pay a premium to limit your risk. There are ways to buy one asset at a specific price (assume for the moment that you expect it to appreciate) and then buy a “put” binary option that establishes a “floor”, in this example, in case the market price of the asset falls. You have to follow each item closely so that the math works in your favor, but if you are adept and quick, you can lock in profits and minimize losses. Leave these strategies to later when you have a better feel for how the market can operate.

Can Signal Service Providers Help in This Genre?

As an active individual trader, you often must have eyes in the back of your head to keep track of every move in the market. The task becomes easier if you only focus on one specific item within a broad asset class, like the Aussie Dollar in the forex world. Finding high-potential market signals involves pattern recognition and a plethora of technical techniques to discern when the odds might favor your personal strategy. These issues do not go away with binary options.

Is there a better way? Traders quickly tire of having to stare at two to three different screen shots, or even more, for an entire trading session. Some throw their hands up in frustration and move to longer timeframes, graduating from the day-trading scene to become a “swing” or longer-termed trader. Binary options, however, are primarily focused on 15 minutes, an hour, or end-of-day deadlines. Sensing a market opportunity, a host of independent signal providers have emerged to support binary options trading. Their proprietary software analyzes mountains of market data and then delivers in the range of 25 signals a week directly to your desktop for instant application.

These services, however, are not free. Many run the gamut of pricing scenarios, but the market seems to be consolidating around a figure between $30 and $100 a month. Many also have 60-day trial periods, promising a full refund if you are not satisfied. As with any investment advisory service, no one has a “crystal ball” that produces 100% satisfaction. There are good signal providers, and there are bad ones. The best way to see if this “back-office assistant” will provide the “eyes-and-ears” you need to out-guess the market is to give one a try, especially one that will refund your initial fee.

Signals and alerts for binary options are in their infancy stage of development. There are review sites that rank many providers, but perform your own due diligence before selecting one firm for further testing.

Concluding Remarks

Trading binary options can be easier than the more traditional route for an asset class, but predicting future outcomes remains the primary objective. Develop a specific trading strategy and test it for consistency on your practice “demo” system. If you feel you need additional “back-office” support, then experiment with a highly recommended signal provider in the industry to see if your results improve over time.

If you’re ready to set up a demo account and start to trade with binary options, we recommend the binary brokers in the top list below.

Best Binary Options Brokers 2020:
  • Binarium

    The Best Binary Options Broker 2020!
    Perfect For Beginners and Middle-Leveled Traders!
    Free Demo Account!
    Free Trading Education!
    Get Your Sign-Up Bonus Now!

  • Binomo

    Good Broker For Experienced Traders!

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